Brexit: UK needs more time to go, according to senior officials

The Brexit transition period will need to be extended potentially for years because any new customs regime will not be ready to come into force in time, according to senior British officials, Bloomberg reports.

In what would be a politically explosive decision, the U.K. will have to stay inside the European customs union beyond the transition period’s end date of December 2020 while new border measures are developed, said two people familiar with the Brexit talks. It’s not government policy, but is being discussed by senior officials.

Conservative Party Chairman Brandon Lewis –who is also a government minister — was asked directly on BBC Radio on Friday whether the U.K. would be staying in the customs union until 2023. He didn’t deny it, saying the Cabinet would be “making some decisions on that.” Until now, the official policy has been that the U.K. will leave the EU’s customs regime at the end of 2020.

Prime Minister Theresa May is already under intense pressure over the future of Britain’s customs arrangements from rival factions within her divided Conservative Party, following a Cabinet split on Wednesday. Passionate Brexit campaigners such as Foreign Secretary Boris Johnson fear May will tie the U.K. too closely to the EU’s trade regime.

On the other side, Tories who want to keep the U.K. inside the customs union are plotting to join the opposition Labour Party to defeat May in a crucial vote on the issue that could come later this month. If she agrees to either side’s demands, May faces a backlash that could see her ousted from power.

“Although May will try to somehow find a compromise that would keep the pro- and anti-EU factions of her party on board, that will be extremely difficult,” said Mujtaba Rahman, managing director at Eurasia Group. “Once again, her authority is on the wane.”

According to two people familiar with the matter, May and her divided cabinet now have two key decisions to make: first, what kind of customs deal they want with the European Union, and then what temporary measures will apply until the new system is operational.

The most obvious answer to the second question is to extend the U.K.’s transitional membership of the customs union beyond its current end date of the end of December 2020, the people said, speaking on condition of anonymity because the matter is sensitive.