Romania’s exports and imports declined in June for the first time in three years as lower external demand and domestic troubles begin to affect the local economy.
In June, Romania’s exports of goods droped by 5.5 percent to EUR 5.56 billion – the first decline since July 2016 – and were largely exceeded by imports which declined by 6.9 percent to EUR 6.69 billion, government data showed on Monday.
Romania’s trade gap rose by 21.8 percent year-on-year in the first half of this year up to EUR 7.69 billion, the highest trade deficit for this period since 2008, due to weak exports and surging imports.
Analysts warn that this poor performance could have a severe impact on the local currency.
Last year, Romania’s exports of goods increased by 8.1 percent to EUR 67.7 billion while imports rose by 9.6 percent to EUR 82.9 billion. The trade gap rose last year by 17 percent up to EUR 15.1 billion, the highest level since 2008.
The government adopted during the last few years a strategy of wage-led growth, stimulating household consumption and GDP growth rates.
But this model has generated larger fiscal and current account deficits and experts insist Romania should change the economic model in order to obtain real long-term economic and social development.